Primer on Risk Analysis
Crc Press Inc (Verlag)
978-1-4398-5763-2 (ISBN)
- Titel erscheint in neuer Auflage
- Artikel merken
This primer tackles the question, "what is risk analysis?" Distilling the common principles of the many risk tribes and dialects into serviceable definitions and narratives, it provides a foundation for the practice of risk analysis and decision making under uncertainty for professionals from all walks of life. Readers learn the language, models, and concepts of risk analysis and its three component tasks—risk management, assessment, and communication. Making a distinction between knowledge uncertainty and natural variability, the book also introduces a down-to-earth approach to decision making under uncertainty. Extensive examples illustrate the applicability of the risk analysis principles.
The book’s simple and straightforward style—based on the author’s decades of experience as a risk analyst, trainer, and educator—strips away the mysterious aura that often accompanies risk analysis. It describes the principles of risk analysis in a manner that enables readers to better understand and use the models and practice of their individual fields, and to gain access to the rich and sophisticated professional literature on risk analysis.
A companion volume, Principles of Risk Analysis: Decision Making Under Uncertainty, supplies the tools, techniques, and methodologies to help readers apply the principles of risk analysis—the "how to."
Additional exercises, as well as a free student version of the Palisade Corporation DecisionTools® Suite software and files used in the preparation of this book are available for download.
Charles Yoe is a professor of economics at Notre Dame of Maryland University, Baltimore, U.S.A., and an independent risk analysis consultant and trainer. Working extensively for U.S. and other government agencies as a consultant and risk analyst, his wide range of risk experience includes international trade, food safety, natural disasters, public works, homeland security, ecosystem restoration, resource development, navigation, planning, and water resources. As a consultant to private industry, his work includes a discrete but wide variety of concerns. He has trained professionals from more than one hundred countries in risk analysis and conducted customized risk training programs for government agencies and private industry in over two dozen nations.
The Basics
What is risk?
What Is Risk Analysis?
Why Do Risk Analysis?
Who Does Risk Analysis?
A Brief Historical Perspective On Risk Analysis
Government Agencies
Private Sector
When Should We Do Risk Analysis?
Organization of Book
Summary and Look Forward
References
Uncertainty
Introduction
Uncertainty from 75,000 feet
The Uncertainty on Your Desk
Knowledge Uncertainty or Natural Variability?
Types of Uncertainty
Quantity Uncertainty
Sources of Uncertainty in Empirical Quantities
Being Intentional About Uncertainty
Summary and Look Forward
References
Risk Management
Introduction
Identifying Problems and Opportunities
Problem Recognition
Problem Acceptance
Problem Definition
Risk Estimation
Establish Risk Analysis Process
Individual Risk Management Activities
Risk Evaluation
Principles for Establishing Acceptable and Tolerable Levels of Risk
The Decision
Risk Control
Formulating RMOs
Evaluating RMOs
Comparing RMOs
Making a Decision
Identifying Decision Outcomes
Implementing the Decision
Risk Monitoring
Monitoring
Evaluation and Iteration
Risk Management Models
Summary and Look Ahead
References
Risk Assessment
Introduction
What Makes a Good Risk Assessment?
Definitions
Risk Assessment Activities
Understand the Questions
Identify the Source of the Risk
Consequence Assessment
Likelihood Assessment
Risk Characterization
Assess Effectiveness of RMOs
Communicate Uncertainty
Document the Process
Risk Assessment Models
Risk Assessment Methods
Qualitative Risk Assessment
Quantitative Risk Assessment
Summary and Look Ahead
References
Risk Communication
Introduction
Definitions
Internal Risk Communication
Coordination Between Assessors and Managers
Risk Communication Process
Documenting the Process
External Risk Communication
Risk and Crisis Communication
Public Involvement
Conflict Resolution
Summary and Look Forward
References
Examples
Introduction
Qualitative
Levee Risk Ranger
Pest Risk
Quantitative
Dredging Project Cost Estimate
Vibrio parahaemolyticus in Oysters
Summary and Look Forward
References
Appendix A: The Language of Risk and ISO 31000
Introduction
ISO 31000
Enterprise Risk Management
Observations
References
Index
| Zusatzinfo | 17 Tables, black and white; 46 Illustrations, black and white |
|---|---|
| Verlagsort | Bosa Roca |
| Sprache | englisch |
| Maße | 152 x 229 mm |
| Gewicht | 408 g |
| Themenwelt | Technik ► Lebensmitteltechnologie |
| Technik ► Umwelttechnik / Biotechnologie | |
| Wirtschaft ► Betriebswirtschaft / Management ► Unternehmensführung / Management | |
| ISBN-10 | 1-4398-5763-6 / 1439857636 |
| ISBN-13 | 978-1-4398-5763-2 / 9781439857632 |
| Zustand | Neuware |
| Haben Sie eine Frage zum Produkt? |
aus dem Bereich
