Non-Bayesian Decision Theory

Beliefs and Desires as Reasons for Action

Martin Peterson (Autor)

Buch | Softcover

170 Seiten

2010 | Softcover reprint of hardcover 1st ed. 2008
Springer (Verlag)
978-90-481-7957-2 (ISBN)

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For quite some time, philosophers, economists, and statisticians have endorsed a view on rational choice known as Bayesianism. The work on this book has grown out of a feeling that the Bayesian view has come to dominate the academic com- nitytosuchanextentthatalternative,non-Bayesianpositionsareseldomextensively researched. Needless to say, I think this is a pity. Non-Bayesian positions deserve to be examined with much greater care, and the present work is an attempt to defend what I believe to be a coherent and reasonably detailed non-Bayesian account of decision theory. The main thesis I defend can be summarised as follows. Rational agents m- imise subjective expected utility, but contrary to what is claimed by Bayesians, ut- ity and subjective probability should not be de?ned in terms of preferences over uncertain prospects. On the contrary, rational decision makers need only consider preferences over certain outcomes. It will be shown that utility and probability fu- tions derived in a non-Bayesian manner can be used for generating preferences over uncertain prospects, that support the principle of maximising subjective expected utility. To some extent, this non-Bayesian view gives an account of what modern - cision theory could have been like, had decision theorists not entered the Bayesian path discovered by Ramsey, de Finetti, Savage, and others. I will not discuss all previous non-Bayesian positions presented in the literature.

Bayesian decision theory.- Choosing what to decide.- Indeterminate preferences.- Utility.- Subjective probability.- Expected utility.- Risk aversion.

From the reviews:"This book presents an account of rational choice from a non-Bayesian point of view. … this book argues that the non-Bayesian approach offers more action guidance to the decision maker. … the book is well addressed to all researchers in the field of decision theory, and especially those with philosophical concerns." (Vangelis Grigoroudis, Zentralblatt MATH, Vol. 1151, 2009)“Anyone concerned in the foundations of normative decision theory and who feels puzzled by the way this theory typically proceeds will doubtless welcome Martin Peterson’s Non-Bayesian Decision Theory. … Perterson’s book is written in a clear and pleasant style, is well organized and shows an impressive mastery of both formal models and conceptual issues pertaining to contemporary decision theory. … Its reading will be valuable to every scholar – philosopher or economist – interested by decision theory.” (Mikaël Cozic, Economics and Philosophy, Vol. 27, 2011)

Erscheint lt. Verlag	18.11.2010
Reihe/Serie	Theory and Decision Library A ; 44
Zusatzinfo	VIII, 170 p.
Verlagsort	Dordrecht
Sprache	englisch
Maße	155 x 235 mm
Themenwelt	Geisteswissenschaften ► Philosophie ► Allgemeines / Lexika
	Mathematik / Informatik ► Informatik ► Theorie / Studium
	Mathematik / Informatik ► Mathematik ► Angewandte Mathematik
	Mathematik / Informatik ► Mathematik ► Finanz- / Wirtschaftsmathematik
	Naturwissenschaften
	Wirtschaft ► Allgemeines / Lexika
	Wirtschaft ► Betriebswirtschaft / Management ► Unternehmensführung / Management
	Wirtschaft ► Volkswirtschaftslehre ► Ökonometrie
ISBN-10	90-481-7957-2 / 9048179572
ISBN-13	978-90-481-7957-2 / 9789048179572
Zustand	Neuware