ITSM for Windows

A User’s Guide to Time Series Modelling and Forecasting

Peter J. Brockwell, Richard A. Davis (Autoren)

Buch | Softcover

118 Seiten

1994 | 1994 ed.
Springer-Verlag New York Inc.
978-0-387-94337-4 (ISBN)

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The analysis of time series data is an important aspect of data analysis across a wide range of disciplines, including statistics, mathematics, business, engineering, and the natural and social sciences. This package provides both an introduction to time series analysis and an easy-to-use version of a well-known time series computing package called Interactive Time Series Modelling. The programs in the package are intended as a supplement to the text Time Series: Theory and Methods, 2nd edition, also by Peter J. Brockwell and Richard A. Davis. Many researchers and professionals will appreciate this straightforward approach enabling them to run desk-top analyses of their time series data. Amongst the many facilities available are tools for: ARIMA modelling, smoothing, spectral estimation, multivariate autoregressive modelling, transfer-function modelling, forecasting, and long-memory modelling. This version is designed to run under Microsoft Windows 3.1 or later. It comes with two diskettes: one suitable for less powerful machines (IBM PC 286 or later with 540K available RAM and 1.1 MB of hard disk space) and one for more powerful machines (IBM PC 386 or later with 8MB of RAM and 2.6 MB of hard disk space available).

1 Introduction.- 1.1 The Programs.- 1.2 System Requirements.- 1.3 Creating Data Files.- 2 PEST.- 2.1 Getting Started.- 2.2 Preparing Your Data for Modelling.- 2.3 Finding a Model for Your Data.- 2.4 Testing Your Model.- 2.5 Prediction.- 2.6 Model Properties.- 2.7 Nonparametric Spectral Estimation.- 3 SMOOTH.- 3.1 Introduction.- 3.2 Moving Average Smoothing.- 3.3 Exponential Smoothing.- 3.4 Removing High Frequency Components.- 4 SPEC.- 4.1 Introduction.- 4.2 Bivariate Spectral Analysis.- 5 TRANS.- 5.1 Introduction.- 5.2 Computing Cross Correlations.- 5.3 An Overview of Transfer Function Modelling.- 5.4 Fitting a Preliminary Transfer Function Model.- 5.5 Calculating Residuals from a Transfer Function Model.- 5.6 LS Estimation and Prediction with Transfer Function Models.- 6 ARVEC.- 6.1 Introduction.- 6.2 Model Selection with the AICC Criterion.- 6.3 Forecasting with the Fitted Model.- 7 BURG.- 7.1 Introduction.- 8 ARAR.- 8.1 Introduction.- 8.2 Running the Program.- 9 LONGMEM.- 9.1 Introduction.- 9.2 Parameter Estimation.- 9.3 Prediction.- 9.4 Simulation.- 9.5 Plotting the Model and Sample ACVF.- Appendix A: The Screen Editor WORD6.- A.1 Basic Editing.- A.2 Alternate Keys.- A.3 Printing a File.- A.4 Merging Two or More Files.- A.5 Margins and Left and Centre Justification.- A.6 Tab Settings.- A.7 Block Commands.- A.8 Searching.- A.9 Special Characters.- A.10 Function Keys.- A. 11 Editing Information.- Appendix B: Data Sets.

" Although it has such an easy-to use appearance and a menu driven structure, the programs are surprisingly flexible and many sophisticated time series analyses can be carried out with the package." (Journal of the American Statistical Association)

Mitarbeit	Assistent: R.J. Hyndman
Zusatzinfo	50 Illustrations, black and white; IX, 118 p. 50 illus. With online files/update.
Verlagsort	New York, NY
Sprache	englisch
Maße	155 x 235 mm
Themenwelt	Informatik ► Grafik / Design ► Digitale Bildverarbeitung
	Mathematik / Informatik ► Informatik ► Theorie / Studium
	Mathematik / Informatik ► Mathematik ► Computerprogramme / Computeralgebra
	Mathematik / Informatik ► Mathematik ► Wahrscheinlichkeit / Kombinatorik
ISBN-10	0-387-94337-4 / 0387943374
ISBN-13	978-0-387-94337-4 / 9780387943374
Zustand	Neuware