Betting on Theories

Patrick Maher (Autor)

Buch | Hardcover

324 Seiten

1993
Cambridge University Press (Verlag)
978-0-521-41850-8 (ISBN)

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This book is a major contribution to decision theory, focusing on the question of when it is rational to accept scientific theories. The author examines both Bayesian decision theory and confirmation theory, refining and elaborating the views of Ramsey and Savage. He argues that the most solid foundation for confirmation theory is to be found in decision theory, and he provides a decision-theoretic derivation of principles for how many probabilities should be revised over time. Professor Maher defines a notion of accepting a hypothesis, and then shows that it is not reducible to probability and that it is needed to deal with some important questions in the philosophy of science. A Bayesian decision-theoretic account of rational acceptance is provided together with a proof of the foundations for this theory. A final chapter shows how this account can be used to cast light on such vexed issues as verisimilitude and scientific realism.

Preface; 1. The logic of preference; 2. Transitivity and normality; 3. Independence; 4. Subjective probability in science; 5. Diachronic rationality; 6. The concept of acceptance; 7. The significance of acceptance; 8. Representation theorem; 9. Scientific values; 10. Proof of theorem; Bibliography.

Erscheint lt. Verlag	26.2.1993
Reihe/Serie	Cambridge Studies in Probability, Induction and Decision Theory
Verlagsort	Cambridge
Sprache	englisch
Maße	159 x 234 mm
Gewicht	584 g
Themenwelt	Geisteswissenschaften ► Philosophie ► Erkenntnistheorie / Wissenschaftstheorie
Themenwelt	Geisteswissenschaften ► Philosophie ► Logik
ISBN-10	0-521-41850-X / 052141850X
ISBN-13	978-0-521-41850-8 / 9780521418508
Zustand	Neuware