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The Autocrat’s Predicament - Timothy R. Heath

The Autocrat’s Predicament

The Political Peril of Economic Upgrade in Single-Party Authoritarian Regimes
Buch | Hardcover
232 Seiten
2023
Lexington Books/Fortress Academic (Verlag)
978-1-6669-4739-7 (ISBN)
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The theory of the “enabling condition” explains how favorable political conditions can facilitate economic upgrade. Through a case study comparison involving five single party, authoritarian regimes, it concludes that China’s unfavorable political situation augurs ill for its ambitions to build a highly productive economy.
In their quest for national revival, China’s leaders under Xi Jinping have sought to improve the economy’s performance. The disappointing economic record of authoritarian regimes provides ample grounds for doubt, yet not all have failed. Why have some succeeded where most did not? The theory of the “enabling condition” highlights the central role that politics plays in the pursuit of economic advancement. The theory explains that a political situation characterized by a strong central leadership, weak elite opposition, and a united public offers favorable prospects for enacting concentrated growth policies. This arrangement enables the central leadership to enlist the public in convincing elites to implement policies that they might otherwise resist. Focusing on the experience of single party, authoritarian regimes, The Autocrat’s Predicament: The Political Peril of Economic Upgrade in Single Party, Authoritarian Regimes examines episodes in the histories of the People’s Republic of China, Taiwan, and the Soviet Union. It concludes that China’s unfavorable political situation could be potentially unfriendly for its ambitions to build an efficient, highly productive economy.

Timothy R. Heath is senior international defense researcher at the RAND Corporation who previously served in the U.S. government as an intelligence specialist on China

Introduction. The Political Challenge of Intensive Growth Policies

Chapter 1. The Theory of the Enabling Condition

Chapter 2. China 1991-1997: Deng Xiaoping’s Triumph and a Toxic Political Legacy

Chapter 3. China 2004-2010: Hu Jintao: Professionalization Fails to Convert Opposing Elites

Chapter 4. China 2013-2020: A Fragmented Public Undermines Xi’s Centralization Strategy

Chapter 5. Taiwan 1973-79: Success Amid a Looming Threat of an Elite-Led Popular Mobilization

Chapter 6. Soviet Union 1985-1990: Weak Central Leadership, Strong Elite Opposition Dooms Perestroika

Chapter 7. Comparative Analysis

Conclusion

Erscheinungsdatum
Sprache englisch
Maße 160 x 236 mm
Gewicht 544 g
Themenwelt Sozialwissenschaften Politik / Verwaltung Europäische / Internationale Politik
Sozialwissenschaften Politik / Verwaltung Staat / Verwaltung
Wirtschaft Volkswirtschaftslehre Wirtschaftspolitik
ISBN-10 1-6669-4739-3 / 1666947393
ISBN-13 978-1-6669-4739-7 / 9781666947397
Zustand Neuware
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