Predicting Turning Points in the Interest Rate Cycle (RLE: Business Cycles)

James W. Coons (Autor)

Buch | Softcover

154 Seiten

2016
Routledge (Verlag)
978-1-138-88822-7 (ISBN)

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Originally published in 1994 and the recipient of the Stonier Library Award, this volume evaluates an alternative approach – the sequential filter- to managing the uncertainty inherent in the future course of the interest rate cycle. The specific hypothesis is that the sequential filter can produce valuable signals of cyclical peaks and troughs in interest rates. The analysis focusses on US interest rates from April 1953 to December 1988.

James W. Coons

1. One-Year Treasury Note Yield: January to December 1989. 2. Selected Interest Rates: 1980-1989 3. The Composite Interest Rate Cycle Index: (CIRCI): 1953-1989 4. Interest Rates and the Business Cycle: 1946-1989 5. Cyclical Peaks and Troughs in the Composite Interest Rate Cycle Index (CIRCI): 1953-1989 6. Comparison of the Timing of Turning Points in the CIRCI and its Components: 1953-1988 7. The Credit Market 8. The Leading Inflation Index and the CIRCI: 1953 to 1989 9. The Case of the Missing Signal: January to December 1981 10. Conditional Probability Distributions Observed and Smoothed: August 1953 to December 1988 11a. Sequential Filter Turning Point Probabilities: August 1953-January 1972 11b. Sequential Filter Turning Point Probabilities: August 1971-August 1990 12. Sequential Filter Turning Point Probabilities Looking For a Trough: March 1989 to October 1993.

Erscheinungsdatum	19.11.2016
Reihe/Serie	Routledge Library Editions: Business Cycles
Verlagsort	London
Sprache	englisch
Maße	156 x 234 mm
Gewicht	226 g
Themenwelt	Wirtschaft ► Allgemeines / Lexika
	Wirtschaft ► Betriebswirtschaft / Management ► Finanzierung
	Wirtschaft ► Volkswirtschaftslehre ► Ökonometrie
ISBN-10	1-138-88822-2 / 1138888222
ISBN-13	978-1-138-88822-7 / 9781138888227
Zustand	Neuware