Deterrence under Uncertainty:

Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Warfare

Dr Edward Geist (Autor)

Buch | Hardcover

256 Seiten

2023
Oxford University Press (Verlag)
978-0-19-288632-3 (ISBN)

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A practitioner's perspective on how artificial intelligence and other emerging technologies could change the role of nuclear weapons in international relations. Geist argues that artificial intelligence could make a huge impact on deterrence and strategic stability even if it does not render retaliatory forces vulnerable.

For decades, films such as WarGames and The Terminator have warned that the combination of artificial intelligence and nuclear weapons might be a recipe for an apocalypse. Might these prophecies of doom become reality in coming decades?

Using insights from computer science, Deterrence under Uncertainty: Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Warfare evaluates how AI could make nuclear war winnable, and whether that possibility is likely. Detailed chapters explain how the landscape of nuclear deterrence is changing and debunks the myths of machine intelligence and nuclear weapons. This book gives a practitioner's perspective on how artificial intelligence and other emerging technologies could change the role of nuclear weapons in international relations.

Edward Geist is a Policy Researcher at the RAND Corporation, where his research interests include Russia (primarily defense policy), civil defense, artificial intelligence, nuclear weapons, and particularly the potential impact of emerging technologies on nuclear strategy. He is the author of Armageddon Insurance (University of North Carolina Press, 2019).

Introduction: Artificial Intelligence and the Nuclear Dilemma
The Emerging Strategic Environment
From Celluloid Nightmares to Silicon Realities
No Place to Hide?
Recipe for a WOPR
Fog-of-War Machines
Strategic Stability in a Deception-Dominant World
Conclusion: A Case for (Tempered) Optimism
Appendix A: The Mathematics of Tracking
Appendix B: A Bayesian Perspective on Camouflage, Concealment, and Deception
Appendix C: A Rudimentary Model of Ontological Confrontation
Index

Erscheinungsdatum	02.09.2023
Zusatzinfo	17
Verlagsort	Oxford
Sprache	englisch
Maße	161 x 240 mm
Gewicht	628 g
Themenwelt	Natur / Technik ► Fahrzeuge / Flugzeuge / Schiffe ► Militärfahrzeuge / -flugzeuge / -schiffe
	Informatik ► Software Entwicklung ► User Interfaces (HCI)
	Informatik ► Theorie / Studium ► Künstliche Intelligenz / Robotik
	Sozialwissenschaften ► Politik / Verwaltung
ISBN-10	0-19-288632-0 / 0192886320
ISBN-13	978-0-19-288632-3 / 9780192886323
Zustand	Neuware