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Advances in Weather and Climate Forecast Verification

Eric Gilleland, Barbara G. Brown (Autoren)

Buch | Softcover

308 Seiten

2023
Elsevier Science Publishing Co Inc (Verlag)
978-0-12-813853-3 (ISBN)

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Advances in Weather and Climate Forecast Verification is a resource for researchers and practitioners who are applying traditional and new methods of forecast evaluation. It offers information that will make it possible for researchers and others to apply the newest forecast methods; rather than searching for information in each individual method, providing the information needed to apply all of the techniques in one place. Selection of the appropriate method to apply to a particular problem is facilitated by comparisons of the methods and their results, which will be included in the book. With these skills in hand, readers can make improvements in both their modelling and the evaluation of the results.

Dr Eric Gilleland is a project scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in the Research Applications Laboratory (RAL), where he has performed research on statistical methods for forecast verification, especially spatial methods for high-resolution models, as well as applications of extreme value analysis, since 2002. Gilleland has a Ph.D. in statistics from the Colorado State University. Barbara G. Brown is a project scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in the Research Applications Laboratory (RAL), where she has led efforts on development and application of methods for weather and climate forecast evaluation. She also has extensive experience providing tutorials on verification methods. Brown has MS degrees in environmental science (University of Virginia, 1979) and statistics (Oregon State University, 1983).

1. Introduction 2. Statistical Basis for Verification 3. Traditional verification for deterministic forecasts 4. Traditional verification for probabilistic forecasts 5. Diagnostic tools for univariate measures 6. Background, motivation, and overview of spatial forecast verification methods 7. Neighborhood methods 8. Scale separation methods 9. Location measures 10. Field deformation 11. Feature-based: identifying features, merging, matching, properties, and property comparisons 12. Feature-based: direct comparisons between matched features: CRA, MODE 13. Feature-based: spatial contingency table 14. Spatial Prediction Comparison Test, including image warping loss 15. Additional topics: hurricane forecasts, S2S, observation uncertainty

Erscheinungsdatum	09.03.2021
Sprache	englisch
Maße	191 x 235 mm
Themenwelt	Naturwissenschaften ► Geowissenschaften ► Meteorologie / Klimatologie
Themenwelt	Naturwissenschaften ► Physik / Astronomie ► Angewandte Physik
ISBN-10	0-12-813853-X / 012813853X
ISBN-13	978-0-12-813853-3 / 9780128138533
Zustand	Neuware