Preparing for Peak Oil in South Africa (eBook)
XVII, 123 Seiten
Springer New York (Verlag)
978-1-4614-9518-5 (ISBN)
Oil is the lifeblood of modern industrial economies. Petroleum powers virtually all motorized transport, which in turn enables most economic activities and provides mobility for citizens. But oil is a finite resource that is steadily depleting. In the past decade, the phenomenon of global peak oil - the fact that annual world oil production must at some point reach a maximum and then decline - has emerged as one of the twenty-first century's greatest challenges. South Africa imports over two-thirds of its petroleum fuels, and history has shown that oil price shocks generally translate into a weakening currency, rising consumer prices, increasing joblessness and a slow-down in economic activity. This book examines the implications of peak oil for socioeconomic welfare in South Africa and proposes a wide range of strategies and policies for mitigating and adapting to the likely impacts. It contains a wealth of data in tables and figures that illustrate South Africa's oil dependencies and vulnerabilities to oil shocks. The material is presented from a systems perspective and is organized in key thematic areas including energy, transport, agriculture, macro-economy and society. The study highlights the risks, uncertainties and difficult choices South Africa faces if it is to tackle its oil addiction, and thereby serves as an example for researchers, planners and policy-makers in the developing world who will sooner or later confront similar challenges. This case study brings a fresh southern perspective to an issue of global importance, and shows how the era of flattening and then declining global oil supplies may be a pivotal period in which either the project of industrialization progressively runs out of steam, or societies are able to undertake a proactive transition to a more sustainable future.
Oil is the lifeblood of modern industrial economies. Petroleum powers virtually all motorized transport, which in turn enables most economic activities and provides mobility for citizens. But oil is a finite resource that is steadily depleting. In the past decade, the phenomenon of global peak oil - the fact that annual world oil production must at some point reach a maximum and then decline - has emerged as one of the twenty-first century's greatest challenges. South Africa imports over two-thirds of its petroleum fuels, and history has shown that oil price shocks generally translate into a weakening currency, rising consumer prices, increasing joblessness and a slow-down in economic activity. This book examines the implications of peak oil for socioeconomic welfare in South Africa and proposes a wide range of strategies and policies for mitigating and adapting to the likely impacts. It contains a wealth of data in tables and figures that illustrate South Africa's oil dependencies and vulnerabilities to oil shocks. The material is presented from a systems perspective and is organized in key thematic areas including energy, transport, agriculture, macro-economy and society. The study highlights the risks, uncertainties and difficult choices South Africa faces if it is to tackle its oil addiction, and thereby serves as an example for researchers, planners and policy-makers in the developing world who will sooner or later confront similar challenges. This case study brings a fresh southern perspective to an issue of global importance, and shows how the era of flattening and then declining global oil supplies may be a pivotal period in which either the project of industrialization progressively runs out of steam, or societies are able to undertake a proactive transition to a more sustainable future.
PrefaceList of Abbreviations and AcronymsUnits of MeasurementList of FiguresList of Tables1. Introduction: The End of Cheap Oil and its Implications for South Africa1.1 Peak oil in a nutshell1.2 Possible global consequences1.3 Mind the policy gap1.4 South Africa: a microcosm of the world1.5 Objectives of this book2. Energy2.1 Oil dependence of the energy system2.2 Likely impact of oil shocks2.3 Weaning off oil: energy substitutes and conservation2.4 Conclusion3. Transport3.1 Oil dependence of the transport system3.2 Vulnerabilities and likely impact of oil shocks on the transport system3.3 Mitigating peak oil in the transport sector3.4 Conclusion4. Agriculture4.1 Oil dependence of agriculture4.2 Impact of oil shocks on agriculture4.3 Mitigating peak oil: agroecological farming and relocalisation4.4 Conclusion5. Economy5.1 Oil dependence of the economy5.2 Macroeconomic vulnerabilities5.3 Economic impact of oil shocks5.4 Mitigating the economic impacts of peak oil5.5 Conclusion6. Society6.1 Social vulnerabilities6.2 Possible social impacts of peak oil6.3 Boosting societal resilience and cohesion6.4 Conclusion7. Can We Transition to Sustainability?7.1 Vision of a sustainable post-oil future7.2 A transition action plan7.3 Barriers and risks to implementation7.4 Beyond South AfricaReferencesIndex
| Erscheint lt. Verlag | 29.11.2013 |
|---|---|
| Reihe/Serie | Energy Analysis |
| Energy Analysis | |
| SpringerBriefs in Energy | SpringerBriefs in Energy |
| Zusatzinfo | XVII, 123 p. 30 illus. in color. |
| Verlagsort | New York |
| Sprache | englisch |
| Themenwelt | Naturwissenschaften ► Biologie ► Ökologie / Naturschutz |
| Naturwissenschaften ► Physik / Astronomie | |
| Sozialwissenschaften ► Politik / Verwaltung | |
| Technik ► Elektrotechnik / Energietechnik | |
| Wirtschaft ► Volkswirtschaftslehre | |
| Schlagworte | Agriculture, Peak Oil Effects • ASPO • Energy Independence • oil depletion • Peak Oil Adaptation Strategies • Peak Oil Mitigation Strategies • Peak Oil Socioeconomic Implications • Peak Oil South Africa • South Africa Energy Analysis • South Africa Peak Oil Systems-Oriented Holistic Approach • Sustainability Transition South Africa • Transport, Peak Oil Effects on |
| ISBN-10 | 1-4614-9518-0 / 1461495180 |
| ISBN-13 | 978-1-4614-9518-5 / 9781461495185 |
| Haben Sie eine Frage zum Produkt? |
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