Energy 2000–2020: World Prospects and Regional Stresses

Buch | Softcover

327 Seiten

2011 | Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1983
Springer (Verlag)
978-94-010-8981-4 (ISBN)

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In 1977, at the Xth World Energy Conference in Istanbul, the Conservation Commission presented an initial global study of future trends in energy supply and demand up to 2020. This pioneering work was the origin of large scale global energy surveys. At the Munich Conference of 1980, the Commission made more thorough analyses by concentrating particularly on the specific behaviour of Third World Nations. Today, in New Delhi, in keeping with the tradition established by its previous surveys, the Commission is developing a new global study, the originality of which lies in the procedure adopted in its production. Rejecting centralised forecasting models which have almost exclusively dominated the minds of researchers, the Commission recommended a decen tralised method of approach which was totally different both in its basic principles and in its implementation. Essentially, the inhabitants of the regions were to be given the opportunity of expressing their own views on their energy future, rather than imposing on them an external model and therefore external results.

1 Presentation and Analysis of Results.- 1 Situation of the Study.- II Global Equilibrium and North-South Dynamics.- III Evolution of Regional Energy Balances.- IV General Guidelines.- II Methodology.- V Methodology.- III Annexes.- Annex 1 Composition of the Regions.- Annex 2 Composition of the Regional Working teams (RWT).- Annex 3 Meetings of the Regional Working Teams.- Annex 4 Units — Equivalences.- Annex 5 Reference Base 1960-1978.- Annex 6 Demographic Forecasts.- Annex 7 Economic Forecasts.- Annex 8 Regional File.- Annex 9 First Stage of Energy Forecasts (Centralised Stage).- Annex 10 Final stage of Energy Forecasts (Decentralised Stage).- Annex 11 Energy Consumptions Forecasts.- Annex 12 Energy Production Forecasts.- Annex 13 Energy Exchanges Forecasts.- Annex 14 Balance Factor.- Annexes 15-19 Regional Structures: Energy Dependences-Elasticities-lntensities.- Annex 20 Analysis of Differences Between the Two Stages of the Study.- Annex 21 Comparison of the “Munich” and “New Delhi” Studies.- Annex 22 Annual World and Cumulative 1978-2000-2020 Consumptions.- Annex 23 Reserves of Non-renewable Energy Sources.- Annex 24 Bibliography.- Annex 25 Minutes of Round Table No. 5 Energy 2000-2020: Supply, Demand and Regional Stresses.

Mitarbeit	Sonstige Mitarbeit: Conservation Commission of the World Energy Conference
Zusatzinfo	327 p.
Verlagsort	Dordrecht
Sprache	englisch
Maße	155 x 235 mm
Themenwelt	Naturwissenschaften ► Biologie ► Ökologie / Naturschutz
	Naturwissenschaften ► Physik / Astronomie
	Technik ► Elektrotechnik / Energietechnik
	Wirtschaft ► Volkswirtschaftslehre
ISBN-10	94-010-8981-7 / 9401089817
ISBN-13	978-94-010-8981-4 / 9789401089814
Zustand	Neuware