Strategies for Optimizing Petroleum Exploration: (eBook)

Evaluate Initial Potential and Forecast Reserves

G.V. Chilingarian, M.V. Gorfunkel, Lev Knoring (Autoren)

eBook Download: PDF

1999 | 1. Auflage
368 Seiten
Elsevier Science (Verlag)
978-0-08-051784-1 (ISBN)

Infos

Here is a valuable guide to appraise and develop petroleum resources. Geology largely determines exploration policy. This book analyzes the strategic connection between the two and shows how to improve decision making on appraising and developing petroleum resources. It examines and describes the internal patterns in finding oil and gas deposits and outlines a process to evaluate the resources. The book also provides a means for long-term reserve accrual forecasting and evaluation. It uses mathematical modeling as a method to evaluate the initial potential of an oil and gas region as well as a way to forecast future reserves. These models improve the reliability and validity of exploration forecasts and estimates. Strategies for Optimizing Petroleum Exploration helps petroleum engineers and explorationists focus and improve their reserve assessment and decision making.


This book shows how to develop and appraise petroleum resources.

Inhalt

Front Cover 1
Strategies for Optimizing Petroleum Exploration: Evaluate Initial Potential and Forecast Reserves 4
Copyright Page 5
Contents 8
Foreword 11
Preface 12
Part I: Evolution of the Oil and Gas Reserves Discovery and Appraisal 14
Chapter 1. Modeling Principles 18
Mathematical Model 18
Substantiation of Functional Relations 26
Specifics of the Mathematical Description in this Study 29
Chapter 2. Evolution of the Reserve Accumulation: Deterministic Models 35
Study of the Reserve Discovery and Appraisal Strategy as a System of Selection 35
Study of Intensity of Undiscovered Resource Transfer into the Appraised Reserve Category 56
Study of the Reserve Discovery and Appraisal Strategy from a Viewpoint of Field Shortage Quota 62
Evaluation and Diagnostic Review of Models 65
Classification of Regions by Specific Exploration Strategies and Reserve Discovery and Appraisal Evolution 69
Deterministic Patterns of the Reserve Accumulation in Various Regions 83
Chapter 3. Evolution of the Reserve Accumulation: Stochastic Models 88
Study of the Reserve Discovery and Appraisal Strategy from the Information Viewpoint 88
Study of Random Components of the Oil and Gas Reserve Accumulation Process 105
Patterns in the Evolution of the Reserve Accumulation Process 125
Chapter 4. Evolution of the Reserve Accumulation as a Function of Drilling Volumes: Deterministic Models 128
Construction of Models 129
Effect of the Exploration Strategy on the Relations between the Evolution of Oil and Gas Reserve Accumulation and Drilling Volume 142
Chapter 5. Reserve History and Evolution of the Undiscovered Resource Structure: Physical Models 146
Dynamic and Thermodynamic Descriptions 147
Two Directions of Evolution 149
States of Equilibrium and Non-equilibrium 151
Emergence and Destruction of Structures 152
Fluctuation and Instability 154
Stability Criteria 156
Determinism and Chance 160
Evolution and Selection 162
Conclusions 162
Part II: Evolution of Oil and Gas Field Discoveries 166
Chapter 6. Size Distribution of Oil and Gas Field Reserves: Its Formation Mechanism 168
Formulation of the Problem 170
Collection (Population) of Fields as a System Possessing Specific Statistical Properties 175
Process of Forming a Field Population (Set) as a Randomized Process of an Individual Deterministic Growth 182
Process of the Field Population Formation as a Randomized Markov-type Stochastic Process 199
Field Population as an Equilibrium System 206
Study of the Field Size Distribution Based on Stable Distributions Different from a Normal Distribution 210
Investigation of the Relationship between the Models and the Oil and Gas Field Size Distribution in Specific Regions 213
Field Population as an Ordered Self-Organizing System: Non-linear Relations in the System 222
Compensation Principle of the Emergence of Order (Ranking) in a System of Fields 226
Discussion of the Study Results of the Formation Mechanism for Different Field Size Distribution Types 231
Chapter 7. Sequence, Structure, and Rate of Oil and Gas Field Discoveries 242
Status of the Problem 243
Purpose of the Study 247
Intra-class Patterns in the Oil and Gas Field Discovery Evolution 249
Inter-class Patterns in the Discovery Evolution of Oil and Gas Fields 250
Modeling of the Oil and Gas Field Discovery Evolution 254
Patterns of the Oil and Gas Field Discovery Evolution in Various Regions 256
Part III: Strategy of Control Over Oil and Gas Exploration 266
Chapter 8. Model of Oil and Gas Exploration Control 270
Process Parameters: Problem Solving 271
Process Model: Controlling Parameters 272
Chapter 9. Optimization of Oil and Gas Exploration-Appraisal Process 288
Optimum Parameters of the Exploration-Appraisal Process 288
Optimality Analysis of the Oil and Gas Exploration in the Former Soviet Union 289
Chapter 10. Forecast of Exploration Evolution 305
Forecast of Exploration Evolution Based on Changes in the Average Size of Discoveries 305
Forecast of Exploration Based on Trends in Changes of the Parameters of Empiric Equations 309
Alternate Avenues of the Evolution of Oil and Gas Exploration Using the System Approach 314
References 324
Subject Index 329
Author Index 333

Produkt-Details

• Erscheint lt. Verlag: 14.5.1999
• Sprache: englisch
• Themenwelt: Mathematik / Informatik ► Mathematik ► Angewandte Mathematik
• Themenwelt: Mathematik / Informatik ► Mathematik ► Finanz- / Wirtschaftsmathematik
• Themenwelt: Naturwissenschaften ► Geowissenschaften ► Geologie
• Themenwelt: Technik ► Elektrotechnik / Energietechnik
• ISBN-10: 0-08-051784-6 / 0080517846
• ISBN-13: 978-0-08-051784-1 / 9780080517841