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Information and Complexity in Statistical Modeling (eBook)

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2007 | 2007
VIII, 142 Seiten
Springer New York (Verlag)
978-0-387-68812-1 (ISBN)

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Information and Complexity in Statistical Modeling - Jorma Rissanen
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No statistical model is 'true' or 'false,' 'right' or 'wrong'; the models just have varying performance, which can be assessed. The main theme in this book is to teach modeling based on the principle that the objective is to extract the information from data that can be learned with suggested classes of probability models. The intuitive and fundamental concepts of complexity, learnable information, and noise are formalized, which provides a firm information theoretic foundation for statistical modeling. Although the prerequisites include only basic probability calculus and statistics, a moderate level of mathematical proficiency would be beneficial.


No statistical model is "e;true"e; or "e;false,"e; "e;right"e; or "e;wrong"e;; the models just have varying performance, which can be assessed. The main theme in this book is to teach modeling based on the principle that the objective is to extract the information from data that can be learned with suggested classes of probability models. The intuitive and fundamental concepts of complexity, learnable information, and noise are formalized, which provides a firm information theoretic foundation for statistical modeling. Inspired by Kolmogorov's structure function in the algorithmic theory of complexity, this is accomplished by finding the shortest code length, called the stochastic complexity, with which the data can be encoded when advantage is taken of the models in a suggested class, which amounts to the MDL (Minimum Description Length) principle. The complexity, in turn, breaks up into the shortest code length for the optimal model in a set of models that can be optimally distinguished from the given data and the rest, which defines "e;noise"e; as the incompressible part in the data without useful information.Such a view of the modeling problem permits a unified treatment of any type of parameters, their number, and even their structure. Since only optimally distinguished models are worthy of testing, we get a logically sound and straightforward treatment of hypothesis testing, in which for the first time the confidence in the test result can be assessed. Although the prerequisites include only basic probability calculus and statistics, a moderate level of mathematical proficiency would be beneficial. The different and logically unassailable view of statistical modelling should provide excellent grounds for further research and suggest topics for graduate students in all fields of modern engineering, including and not restricted to signal and image processing, bioinformatics, pattern recognition, and machine learning to mention just a few.

Contents 5
Preface 7
Introduction 9
Part I Information and Coding 15
Shannon— Wiener Information 17
Coding of Random Processes 35
Part II Statistical Modeling 50
Kolmogorov Complexity 53
Stochastic Complexity 63
Structure Function 84
Optimally Distinguishable Models 93
The MDL Principle 100
Applications 106
References 137
Index 142

Erscheint lt. Verlag 15.12.2007
Reihe/Serie Information Science and Statistics
Information Science and Statistics
Zusatzinfo VIII, 142 p.
Verlagsort New York
Sprache englisch
Themenwelt Informatik Theorie / Studium Kryptologie
Mathematik / Informatik Mathematik Statistik
Mathematik / Informatik Mathematik Wahrscheinlichkeit / Kombinatorik
Naturwissenschaften
Technik
Schlagworte algorithm • algorithms • Bioinformatics • Calculus • Coding • complexity statistical • Excel • Image Processing • Information • machine learning • Minimum description length • Modeling • Shannon • Signal • Statistics
ISBN-10 0-387-68812-9 / 0387688129
ISBN-13 978-0-387-68812-1 / 9780387688121
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