Public Opinion Polling in a Globalized World (eBook)

Marita Carballo, Ulf Hjelmar (Herausgeber)

eBook Download: PDF

2007 | 2008
IX, 300 Seiten
Springer Berlin (Verlag)
978-3-540-75753-5 (ISBN)

Infos

Understanding public opinion is integral to modern democracies. Social research and opinion polls give people the opportunity to express their views and provide an efficient way to measure public opinion. This book illustrates how public opinion polling matters in politics, in the public sphere, and more generally in globalized economies. It presents results from opinion polls in more than 30 countries, especially 12 in-depth case studies from various countries around the world.

Inhalt

Preface 5
Contents 6
Introduction 9
Contributions 14
References 17
Part 1: International Polls 18
The Effects of Globalisation on the Perception of Democracy 19
1 Introduction 19
2 Survey Research and Polling Itself 21
3 The Growth of Information and Its Availability 23
4 The Volume of Legislation 24
5 The Democracy Index 25
6 Concluding Remarks 28
Transatlantic Trends: Convergences and Divergences 30
1 Introduction 30
2 The Neighbors Across the Ocean 31
3 Boosting Trade, Fighting Poverty 37
4 Conclusions 46
References 46
A Europe of Values: From Shared History to Common Objectives 48
1 Introduction 48
2 Subjective Perception of Shared Values 49
3 Collective and Contextual Values 53
4 The New Values 56
5 Conclusion 63
References 64
Latin America’s Mixed Views About Globalization, Investments and the United States 65
1 Background 65
2 Attitudes Towards Foreign Investment 69
3 Attachment to the Homeland 71
4 Latin America’s Views About the Most Advanced Nations 73
5 The US as a World Leader 75
6 Conclusions 78
References 79
How Do the Western Balkans See Their Future? 81
1 Introduction 81
2 Research Design 85
3 Key Survey Findings 87
4 Conclusions 93
Reference 93
Part 2: Public Opinion Polling in National Elections 94
Exit Polls – A Lot More than Just a Tool for Election Forecasts 95
1 Background 95
2 The Methodology of Exit Polling 97
3 Forecast/ Projections 104
4 Analyzing and Presenting Results 107
5 Conclusion 109
Reference 110
Methodological Issues in Pre-Election Polling: Lessons from ABC News’ 32- Night Tracking Poll 111
1 Introduction 111
2 Tracking Methodology 112
3 Vote Estimates 113
4 Underrepresented Groups 115
5 Party Identification 118
6 Traditional Methodological Considerations8 128
7 Conclusion 134
References 135
The Presidential Elections in France 2007 – The Role of Opinion Polls 137
1 Background 137
2 A Long Campaign: Short- Listing of Candidates and the Role of Opinion Polls 138
3 Nicolas Sarkozy’s Victory: The Foundations 144
4 Reshaping Political Support 147
5 Strategic Break 148
6 The Campaign Follow-up and Adjustments 150
7 Opinion Polls – Tools of Communication and Subjects of Debate 151
8 In Conclusion 152
Voters Lack Commitment: Canada 155
1 Background 155
2 Turnout in Canada: The Evidence 157
3 Methodology 159
4 Findings 161
5 Commitment and Expressed Vote Intention 163
6 Political Engagement and the Democratic Deficit 166
7 Summary and Implications 169
References 170
Part 3: The Public Sector in Transition 172
Developing Employment Policy in Europe 173
1 Introduction: Challenges for Employment Policy in Europe 173
2 Data 174
3 Labour Market Participation 176
4 Actual and Preferred Weekly Working Hours 179
5 Companies’ Experiences with Part- Time Work 182
6 Actual and Preferred Sharing of Work Among Men and Women Living as a Couple 183
7 Working Conditions 186
8 Conclusion 188
References 189
The School Sport Partnership Programme – Raising Levels of Participation in Physical Education and Sport in Schools in England 191
1 Background 191
2 Method 195
3 The Results 199
4 Concluding Remarks 205
References 206
Client Satisfaction with Public Services: A Norwegian Case 207
1 Introduction 207
2 Client Satisfaction and Public Policy Design 208
3 Satisfaction with Public Services in Decline? 210
4 Facing the Challenge 216
5 Future Directions 221
References 224
Part 4: Asia on the Move 226
The Role of Social Research in Development Programs: Examples from India 227
1 Introduction 227
2 Transition in Asia 228
3 Role of Social Research in India 234
4 Case Study – Contribution of Research in HIV/ AIDS Control in India 240
5 Conclusions 242
References 243
A Framework for Social Development Assessment 244
1 The Behavioural Change Challenge 244
2 An Idea Was Formed 245
3 Developing a Social Assessment Framework 247
4 Program Effectiveness Index 249
5 Case Study – Aceh Tsunami Relief 251
6 UNICEF View on Outcome 256
7 Future Perspectives 260
References 262
Polling in Developing Democracies – The Case of the Philippines 263
1 Background 263
2 Primary Users of Public Opinion Surveys 265
3 Ballot Box Methodology 266
4 Pre- election Surveys 267
5 Exit Poll or Election- Day Survey 267
6 Problems in Implementing Public- Opinion Surveys 269
7 Sample Results of Public- Opinion Polls 271
8 Concluding Remarks 275
References 276
Maori Television Services – Raising Knowledge of Maori Language and Culture in New Zealand 277
1 Background 277
2 Method 280
3 Findings 283
4 Discussion 286
References 286
About the Authors 288

Produkt-Details

• Erscheint lt. Verlag: 14.11.2007
• Zusatzinfo: IX, 300 p.
• Verlagsort: Berlin
• Sprache: englisch
• Themenwelt: Mathematik / Informatik ► Mathematik ► Statistik
• Themenwelt: Sozialwissenschaften ► Politik / Verwaltung
• Themenwelt: Sozialwissenschaften ► Soziologie
• Themenwelt: Technik
• Themenwelt: Wirtschaft ► Betriebswirtschaft / Management ► Marketing / Vertrieb
• Themenwelt: Wirtschaft ► Betriebswirtschaft / Management ► Unternehmensführung / Management
• Themenwelt: Wirtschaft ► Volkswirtschaftslehre
• Schlagworte: Development • Election • Elections • Globalization • Nation • Policy • Politics • presidential elections • Public Opinion • Public Opinion Polling • Public Services • Social Marketing • Survey method • Trends • voter
• ISBN-10: 3-540-75753-8 / 3540757538
• ISBN-13: 978-3-540-75753-5 / 9783540757535