Megadisasters
Predicting the Next Catastrophe
Seiten
2009
Oxford University Press (Verlag)
978-0-19-923778-4 (ISBN)
Oxford University Press (Verlag)
978-0-19-923778-4 (ISBN)
- Titel ist leider vergriffen;
keine Neuauflage - Artikel merken
Our best technology seems helpless in preventing such 'megadisasters' as Hurricane Katrina. Together with earthquakes, climate change, stock market crashes, these are complex systems hard to predict. Florin Diacu recounts the heroic efforts to understand them, our limited progress so far, and stories from those caught up in them.
No one can forget the horrific images of the destructive power of the tsunami that engulfed Southeast Asia on Boxing Day in 2004, or the chaos wrought by Hurricane Katrina. Could these 'megadisasters' have been predicted? This book is about the science and mathematics that underlies efforts to understand and predict megadisasters. There are similarities in the variety of cataclysms that we are prone to, whether hurricanes, tsunamis, sudden changes of climate, or stock market crashes. These are all events that are associated with complex systems, with many variables, and their science and mathematics is that of 'chaotic systems'. Their behaviour is very difficult to predict. Other kinds of megadisasters are the risk of a massive asteroid impact, and the development of pandemics. Understanding and predicting these phenomena involve developing complex mathematical models, and we have a long way to go. In this book, Diacu describes the struggles of mathematicians and scientists over the centuries to get to grips with the nature of volcanoes, hurricanes, and other complex phenomena and prevent future tragedies.
But he also includes human stories that remind us of their terrifying power and the experience of being caught up in them.
No one can forget the horrific images of the destructive power of the tsunami that engulfed Southeast Asia on Boxing Day in 2004, or the chaos wrought by Hurricane Katrina. Could these 'megadisasters' have been predicted? This book is about the science and mathematics that underlies efforts to understand and predict megadisasters. There are similarities in the variety of cataclysms that we are prone to, whether hurricanes, tsunamis, sudden changes of climate, or stock market crashes. These are all events that are associated with complex systems, with many variables, and their science and mathematics is that of 'chaotic systems'. Their behaviour is very difficult to predict. Other kinds of megadisasters are the risk of a massive asteroid impact, and the development of pandemics. Understanding and predicting these phenomena involve developing complex mathematical models, and we have a long way to go. In this book, Diacu describes the struggles of mathematicians and scientists over the centuries to get to grips with the nature of volcanoes, hurricanes, and other complex phenomena and prevent future tragedies.
But he also includes human stories that remind us of their terrifying power and the experience of being caught up in them.
Florin Diacu is a Professor of Mathematics and former director of the Pacific Institute of the Mathematical Sciences at the University of Victoria. He is the author of the award-winning book Celestial Encounters; a history of ideas in the field of chaos theory. He lives in Victoria, British Columbia.
1. Introduction: Glimpsing the future ; 2. Walls of Water: Tsunamis ; 3. Land in Upheaval: Earthquakes ; 4. Rivers of Fire: Volcanic eruptions ; 5. Giant Whirlwinds: Hurricanes, Cyclones and typhoons ; 6. Mutant Seasons: Sudden climate changes ; 7. Earth in Collision: Cosmic impacts ; 8. Economic Breakdown: Financial crashes ; 9. Tiny Killers: Pandemics ; 10. Models and Prediction: How far can we go?
| Erscheint lt. Verlag | 24.9.2009 |
|---|---|
| Zusatzinfo | 15 black and white line drawings |
| Verlagsort | Oxford |
| Sprache | englisch |
| Maße | 149 x 223 mm |
| Gewicht | 453 g |
| Themenwelt | Sachbuch/Ratgeber ► Natur / Technik |
| Mathematik / Informatik ► Mathematik ► Angewandte Mathematik | |
| Naturwissenschaften ► Biologie ► Ökologie / Naturschutz | |
| Naturwissenschaften ► Geowissenschaften ► Allgemeines / Lexika | |
| Schlagworte | Naturkatastrophen |
| ISBN-10 | 0-19-923778-6 / 0199237786 |
| ISBN-13 | 978-0-19-923778-4 / 9780199237784 |
| Zustand | Neuware |
| Haben Sie eine Frage zum Produkt? |
Mehr entdecken
aus dem Bereich
aus dem Bereich
Anwendungen und Theorie von Funktionen, Distributionen und Tensoren
Buch | Softcover (2023)
De Gruyter Oldenbourg (Verlag)
CHF 97,90
Berechnung statisch unbestimmter Tragwerke
Buch | Hardcover (2022)
Hanser (Verlag)
CHF 41,95
