Dutch Book Arguments
Seiten
2020
Cambridge University Press (Verlag)
978-1-108-71344-3 (ISBN)
Cambridge University Press (Verlag)
978-1-108-71344-3 (ISBN)
In this Element, we present Dutch Book arguments for the principles of Probabilism, Conditionalization, and the Reflection Principle, among others, and we formulate and consider the most serious objections to them. We show that degrees of belief that don't satisfy the principles will always guide action in some way that is bad or undesirable.
Our beliefs come in degrees. I'm 70% confident it will rain tomorrow, and 0.001% sure my lottery ticket will win. What's more, we think these degrees of belief should abide by certain principles if they are to be rational. For instance, you shouldn't believe that a person's taller than 6ft more strongly than you believe that they're taller than 5ft, since the former entails the latter. In Dutch Book arguments, we try to establish the principles of rationality for degrees of belief by appealing to their role in guiding decisions. In particular, we show that degrees of belief that don't satisfy the principles will always guide action in some way that is bad or undesirable. In this Element, we present Dutch Book arguments for the principles of Probabilism, Conditionalization, and the Reflection Principle, among others, and we formulate and consider the most serious objections to them.
Our beliefs come in degrees. I'm 70% confident it will rain tomorrow, and 0.001% sure my lottery ticket will win. What's more, we think these degrees of belief should abide by certain principles if they are to be rational. For instance, you shouldn't believe that a person's taller than 6ft more strongly than you believe that they're taller than 5ft, since the former entails the latter. In Dutch Book arguments, we try to establish the principles of rationality for degrees of belief by appealing to their role in guiding decisions. In particular, we show that degrees of belief that don't satisfy the principles will always guide action in some way that is bad or undesirable. In this Element, we present Dutch Book arguments for the principles of Probabilism, Conditionalization, and the Reflection Principle, among others, and we formulate and consider the most serious objections to them.
1. Overview; 2. Introducing Dutch Book arguments; 3. Rewriting the Dutch Book; 4. Updating and evidence; 5. The choices credences rationally require; 6. The alleged irrationality of being exploitable; 7. Generalizing the Dutch Book arguments; 8. The mathematics of the Dutch Book arguments.
| Erscheinungsdatum | 01.09.2020 |
|---|---|
| Reihe/Serie | Elements in Decision Theory and Philosophy |
| Zusatzinfo | Worked examples or Exercises; 6 Line drawings, black and white |
| Verlagsort | Cambridge |
| Sprache | englisch |
| Maße | 150 x 230 mm |
| Gewicht | 160 g |
| Themenwelt | Geisteswissenschaften ► Philosophie ► Logik |
| Naturwissenschaften | |
| ISBN-10 | 1-108-71344-0 / 1108713440 |
| ISBN-13 | 978-1-108-71344-3 / 9781108713443 |
| Zustand | Neuware |
| Haben Sie eine Frage zum Produkt? |
Mehr entdecken
aus dem Bereich
aus dem Bereich
ein Gegenentwurf zum kurzfristigen Denken : so werden wir zu den …
Buch | Hardcover (2023)
REDLINE (Verlag)
CHF 27,90
