The Logical Foundations of Statistical Inference

Henry E. Kyburg Jr. (Autor)

Buch | Softcover

433 Seiten

1974 | Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1974
Kluwer Academic Publishers (Verlag)
978-90-277-0430-6 (ISBN)

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Everyone knows it is easy to lie with statistics. It is important then to be able to tell a statistical lie from a valid statistical inference. It is a relatively widely accepted commonplace that our scientific knowledge is not certain and incorrigible, but merely probable, subject to refinement, modifi cation, and even overthrow. The rankest beginner at a gambling table understands that his decisions must be based on mathematical ex pectations - that is, on utilities weighted by probabilities. It is widely held that the same principles apply almost all the time in the game of life. If we turn to philosophers, or to mathematical statisticians, or to probability theorists for criteria of validity in statistical inference, for the general principles that distinguish well grounded from ill grounded generalizations and laws, or for the interpretation of that probability we must, like the gambler, take as our guide in life, we find disagreement, confusion, and frustration. We might be prepared to find disagreements on a philosophical and theoretical level (although we do not find them in the case of deductive logic) but we do not expect, and we may be surprised to find, that these theoretical disagreements lead to differences in the conclusions that are regarded as 'acceptable' in the practice of science and public affairs, and in the conduct of business.

I / The Probability Framework.- II / Classical Statistical Theory.- III / R. A. Fisher: Likelihood and Fiducial Inference.- IV / Decision Theory.- V / Subjective and Logical Approaches.- VI / Comparison of Approaches.- VII / The Language: Syntax.- VIII / Rational Corpora.- IX / Randomness.- X / Probability.- XI / Conditional Probability.- XII / Interpretations of Probability.- XIII / Bayesian Inference.- XIV / The Fiducial Argument.- XV / Confidence Methods.- XVI / Epistemological Considerations.- Appendix / The Mathematical Background.

Erscheint lt. Verlag	31.7.1974
Reihe/Serie	Synthese Library ; 65
Zusatzinfo	IX, 433 p.
Verlagsort	Dordrecht
Sprache	englisch
Maße	155 x 235 mm
Themenwelt	Geisteswissenschaften ► Philosophie ► Allgemeines / Lexika
Themenwelt	Geisteswissenschaften ► Philosophie ► Logik
ISBN-10	90-277-0430-9 / 9027704309
ISBN-13	978-90-277-0430-6 / 9789027704306
Zustand	Neuware