Reckoning with Risk

Learning to Live with Uncertainty

Gerd Gigerenzer (Autor)

Buch | Softcover

320 Seiten

2002
Allen Lane (Verlag)
978-0-7139-9512-1 (ISBN)

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In the beginning of the 20th century, the father of modern science fiction, H.G. Wells, predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. Yet, a century on, most of us, from TV weather forecasters to the American President, seem to have no idea of how to reason about uncertainties. This volume offers a treatment for the "disease" of statistical illiteracy. Aimed at helping us understand risks in the real world, it shows how a proper understanding of uncertainties can make the difference between hope and despair.

Gerd Gigerenzer is Director of the Center for Adaptive Behaviour and Cognition in Berlin, and a former Professor of Psychology at the University of Chicago. Dan Dennett writes: "Gigerenzer is one of the smartest psychologists I know, and he's bursting with great ideas. His topic is dynamite".

Part 1 Dare to know: uncertainty; the illusion of uncertainty; innumeracy; insight. Part 2 Understanding uncertainties in the real world: breast cancer screening; (un)informed consent; Aids counselling; wife battering; experts on trial; DNA fingerprinting; violent people. Part 3 From innumeracy to insight: how innumeracy can be exploited; fun problems; teaching clear thinking.

Erscheint lt. Verlag	4.7.2002
Zusatzinfo	illustrations, glossary, notes, index
Verlagsort	London
Sprache	englisch
Maße	153 x 233 mm
Gewicht	477 g
Themenwelt	Sachbuch/Ratgeber ► Natur / Technik
	Mathematik / Informatik ► Mathematik ► Allgemeines / Lexika
	Mathematik / Informatik ► Mathematik ► Mathematische Spiele und Unterhaltung
	Wirtschaft ► Betriebswirtschaft / Management ► Allgemeines / Lexika
ISBN-10	0-7139-9512-2 / 0713995122
ISBN-13	978-0-7139-9512-1 / 9780713995121
Zustand	Neuware