Pivotal Countries, Alternate Futures
Oxford University Press Inc (Verlag)
978-0-19-939709-9 (ISBN)
Professor for Global Affairs, New York University Center for Global Affairs
Contents: (Level 1) ; Introduction (Level 1) ; Chapter One: The Problem: Fateful Decisions in Uncertainty (Level 1) ; A Global most likely Scenario (Level 2) ; Russia: Working Authoritarianism (Level 3) ; China: Strong State (Level 3) ; Making Decisions in this most likely Future (Level 2) ; Can we do better? (Level 2) ; Chapter Two: Potential Applications: Historical Cases (Level 1) ; The Disintegration of Yugoslavia (Level 2) ; The Failure of the Doha Round of Trade Negotiations (Level 2) ; The Terrorist Attacks of 9/11 (Level 2) ; The US Invasion of Iraq (Level 2) ; The Arab Spring (Level 2) ; Obama Grand Strategy (Level 2) ; The Syrian Civil War (Level 2) ; Chapter Three: Value of Scenarios (Level 1) ; What about Prediction? (Level 2) ; Timing is almost everything (Level 2) ; Beyond Timing: the Importance of Process (Level 2) ; What's a good set of Scenarios? (Level 2) ; Chapter Four: The Scenario Construction Process (Level 1) ; Design of Scenario Process (Level 2) ; Selecting Participants for Scenario Workshops (Level 2) ; Pre-Workshop Research on Drivers of Change (Level 2) ; Drivers Paper: (Level 2) ; China 2020 (Level 3) ; Ukraine 2020 (Level 3) ; The Scenarios Process: Syria (Level 2) ; How to Facilitate (Level 2) ; Composing the Scenario Narrative (Level 2) ; Some Lessons Learned (Level 2) ; Traps (Level 2) ; Chapter Five: Future Applications and Policy Process (Level 1)
Erscheinungsdatum | 24.02.2016 |
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Verlagsort | New York |
Sprache | englisch |
Maße | 218 x 145 mm |
Gewicht | 431 g |
Themenwelt | Sozialwissenschaften ► Politik / Verwaltung ► Politische Theorie |
Sozialwissenschaften ► Politik / Verwaltung ► Staat / Verwaltung | |
ISBN-10 | 0-19-939709-0 / 0199397090 |
ISBN-13 | 978-0-19-939709-9 / 9780199397099 |
Zustand | Neuware |
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