The Politics of Modelling

Numbers Between Science and Policy

Andrea Saltelli, Monica Di Fiore (Herausgeber)

Buch | Hardcover

272 Seiten

2023
Oxford University Press (Verlag)
978-0-19-887241-2 (ISBN)

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Adopting a multidisciplinary approach, this edited volume brings together a diverse range of contributions to look beyond the strictly mathematical view of modelling and instead examine the social nature of models, their biases and responsibilities.

Chapter 2, 'Pay no attention to the model behind the curtain', Chapter 4, 'Mind the hubris: Complexity can misfire', and Chapter 8, ' Sensitivity auditing: A practical checklist for auditing decision-relevant models' are published open access and free to read or download from Oxford Academic

The widespread use of mathematical models for policy-making and its social and political impact are at the core of this book. While the discussion of mathematical modelling generally centres around technical features, use, and type of model, the literature is increasingly acknowledging that the social nature of modelling, its biases and responsibilities, are equally worth investigating.

This book tackles these emerging questions by adopting a multidisciplinary approach to investigate how current modelling practices address contemporary challenges, and fills a gap in the field, which has historically focused on statistical and algorithmic modes of producing numbers.

Thanks to its multidisciplinary appeal, this book will be essential reading for modellers, public officials, policymakers, and scholars alike.

Part of this title is published open access. This part is available to read and download as a PDF on Oxford Academic and is made available under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives 4.0 International licence.

Andrea Saltelli is based at Pompeu Fabra University in Barcelona. His most recent papers have tackled sensitivity analysis and auditing, the ecological footprint, the future of statistics, the rationale of evidence-based policy, the crisis of science and the post-truth discussion. Andrea gives courses in sensitivity analysis, sensitivity auditing, science integrity, and the ethics of quantification. He has recently published on the role of science in processes of regulatory capture. Monica Di Fiore is a researcher at the Institute for Cognitive Sciences and Technologies of the Italian National Research Council (CNR) of Rome. She has dealt with innovation and social acceptance of technologies. Her most recent work focuses on open science and responsible research and innovation, the reproducibility crisis, science-based normative capture, and the sociology and ethics of quantification. She recently contributed to a manifesto published by Nature on the quality of mathematical models.

Foreword: Mathematically modelling as a critical cultural enterprise
Wendy Espeland
Preface: The sciences of modelling through
Dan Sarewitz
Part I - Meeting models
1: Introduction
Monica Di Fiore and Andrea Saltelli
2: Pay no attention to the model behind the curtain
Philip Stark
Part II - The rules
3: Mind the framing: Match purpose and context
Monica Di Fiore, Marta Kuc-Czarnecka, Samuele Lo Piano, Arnald Puy, and Andrea Saltelli
4: Mind the hubris: Complexity can misfire
Arnald Puy and Andrea Saltelli
5: Mind the assumptions: Quantify uncertainty and assess sensitivity
Emanuele Borgonovo
6: Mind the consequences: Quantification in economic and public policy
Wolfgang Drechsler and Lukas Fuchs
7: Mind the unknowns: Exploring the politics of ignorance in mathematical models
Andy Stirling
Part III - The rules in practice
8: Sensitivity auditing: A practical checklist for auditing decision-relevant models
Samuele Lo Piano, Razi Sheikholeslami, Arnald Puy, and Andrea Saltelli
9: Mathematical modelling: Lessons from composite indicators
Marta Kuc-Czarnecka and Andrea Saltelli
10: Mathematical modelling, rulemaking, and the COVID-19 pandemic
Ting Xu
11: In the twilight of probability: COVID-19 and the dilemma of the decision-maker
Paolo Vineis and Luca Savarino
12: Models as metaphors
Jerome R. Ravetz
Epilogue: Those special models: A political economy of mathematical modelling
Andrea Saltelli and Monica Di Fiore

Erscheinungsdatum	30.08.2023
Verlagsort	Oxford
Sprache	englisch
Maße	160 x 240 mm
Gewicht	594 g
Themenwelt	Mathematik / Informatik ► Mathematik ► Angewandte Mathematik
	Naturwissenschaften
	Sozialwissenschaften ► Soziologie ► Empirische Sozialforschung
ISBN-10	0-19-887241-0 / 0198872410
ISBN-13	978-0-19-887241-2 / 9780198872412
Zustand	Neuware